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A lot of Republican operatives had to have been holding their breath on the morning when agents of the FBI went to the house of Illinois governor Rod Blagojevich to arrest him on corruption charges. One misstep or the refusal of Blagojevich to go along with the charade, and the whole Republican game plan would have disastrously unraveled.

Even in the event that the charges were serious, which I don’t believe for a minute, Blagojevich, as the sitting governor of a major industrial state, posed virtually no flight risk. The U.S. Attorney could just as well have called Blogojevich at his office and instructed him to come down to the federal court building to be arraigned. The idea, of course, was to catch him off his guard and before he could get use of his senses. If Blagojevich would have had his wits about him he could have called upon his Illinois State Police security detail, refused to accompany the FBI, gone to the courthouse under his own steam and had an opportunity to deny all charges to the press. He could have called the whole procedure a joke and a Republican power play, entering the court through the front door wearing an expensive suit and accompanied by a battery of attorneys instead of being dragged through the system like a Roman slave in shackles, no better than a common purse snatcher.

The Republicans may be reduced politically and philosophically, but their capacity for creating chaos and manipulating the media to wreck the Democratic agenda remains undiminished. Obama has not even been sworn in yet and they already have him on the run. One can already see them sharpening their knives and forks to feast on him, secure in the fact that the Clintons, of whom they are deathly afraid, will never lift a finger to save him. Far from it.

People ask, how is it Blagojevich shot his mouth off knowing he was under investigation and surveillance by the Justice Department? The answer is two-fold: first, as a Chicago Democrat he has nothing but contempt for the Republican Party and the bogus Bush administration. Second, like retired suburban Chicago police sergeant Scott Peterson, who is under investigation for murdering two of his ex-wives and who still can’t keep quiet, Blagojevich is a loudmouth idiot who cant’s keep his mouth shut under any circumstances. It goes with the territory. Chicagoans are imbeciles. That’s how Obama rose so far so fast; he was the only guy in Chicago with any brains at all.

The reader would certainly be justified in asking, how can this writer qualify a city of three million inhabitants and one of the richest in the world as a bunch of nitwits? Very simple, I was born and grew up there, and the first thing I came to understand as a teenager was that an extravagant display of intelligence never got anybody anywhere unless it was directed into making money, then it was OK. The perfect guy to get girls was a knucklehead with a new GTO. It’s like a smaller version of New York, minus Manhattan (even in Manhattan you can sometimes go too far with being smart).

When Obama ran away from Blogojevich, he showed he could be railroaded by the manipulation of public opinion. He hadn’t formulated a strategy. This is a lesson the Republicans won’t forget. He couldn’t have handled it worse. When he called for Blagojevich to resign, Obama sunk to the level of an air-head television reporter. He fell into the Republican trap of: what contacts did he have with Blagojevich and when did he have them, when in fact negotiating with the state’s governor over an suitable replacement for his senate seat was a totally appropriate activity.

You better believe that the other world leaders are watching to see what kind of personal resources of intelligence and firmness Obama will have at his disposal. If they deduce that he is easily confused and intimidated, they will act accordingly to use that to their advantage. Vladimir Putin, who is himself a black belt, an ex-intelligence officer and an expert chess player will definitely examine Obams’s psychological profile to see where he can derive an advantage. Putin comes from a very tough line of leaders from Peter the Great to Stalin, and he won’t hesitate to combine sophistication with brutality to achieve his ends. Fortunately for the US, the collapse in commodity prices should slow him down considerably going forward. Nevertheless, if Obama comes across as a lightweight, Putin and the other gang of thugs on the world scene will use whatever means at hand to get the edge on him, and the qualities that helped him to emerge in the bush league world of Chicago municipal politics may not be sufficient to sustain him in the majors.

It may develop that Obama-Biden is just a brief detour from the inevitable path of historical determinism leading to a Clinton dynasty.

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Posted on 12/16/2008 ( Permanent Link )
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