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The Shape of Things To Come



I am not going to play dummy and pretend I don’t know what’s going on, just so I can fit in with mediocre conformity. What we are witnessing here is an epic Republican meltdown of historic proportions, just like I pictured it. This beats 1974, 1932 or anything else you can name.


Bush is not a lame duck, he’s a dead dick. He is soooo unlucky, every one of his fuck-ups has returned to hit him in the face while he is still in office. If I ever saw a fit candidate for tar-and-feathering and run out of town on a rail, it’s little Bushy.


McCain is refusing to get on stage and have Obama blast him with everything except the kitchen sink, sticking the whole mess on him like a pin-the-tail-on-the-donkey.


The Republicans have got this beating coming to them for all their nasty destructiveness and criminality. There is only one more ugly surprise to look out for, and it may well happen, which is where Bush would try to declare a national emergency and suspend the election. Don’t laugh. He already pulled one power grab in 2000, which landed us in this mess, and he has always shown that he is not above desperate measures. Almost half the country would support a coup, particularly with Obama poised to become president, but the armed forces are all the way around the world in Asia, so he may not have the logistical capability to contain the population centers.


So, let’s say the election is held and Obama sweeps in with a crushing Democratic majority in congress. What he will inherit, thanks to the Republicans, is an economy on life support. He also will not have the party united behind him. Obama is the luckiest guy I ever saw. He has never had to fight a contested election. Even now the opposition has done him the honor of bending over for him. It remains to be seen whether he is any more suited for prolonged work, as opposed to sitting behind a desk and taking decisions, than Bush was.


This election is not being decided on any personal qualities that either of the candidates may or may not possess, but strictly on the basis of historical determinism. Given the current events, the Democrats could have put up Clifford the Big Red Dog and won, which was their determination when they put Obama ahead of Clinton, having handicapped the odds down to the minutest consideration. The Democrats decided that the Clintons were overqualified and that they could win without them, and have an easier time managing Obama (a lot of people already own a piece of Obama, or think they do).


This is the same kind of calculation that led the French political establishment to hand De Gaulle his walking papers after World War II, on the basis that as long as he was on the scene there would be nothing left for anybody else. He went to his country house in Colombey Deux-Eglises and fumed.  Years later, when the French economy and government collapsed, they went back to De Gaulle on their knees and pleaded with him to restore order. He agreed, but only on the condition that they completely rewrite the French constitution to put all authority in him personally.


Now that the Republicans are dead letter, all the fighting will take entirely within the Democratic Party. Remember, when Lenin took power in Russia in 1917, he didn’t have to defeat the czar. The czar was already defeated. He had to defeat Kerensky and the Social Democrats.


Unfortunately, Obama and his supporters called the Clintons a lot of dirty names, like racists, and parroted the Republican line against them with relation to Whitewater, no less. His campaign particularly went out of their way to offend the Clintons, but going forward he may need them. It’s impossible to tell how much he can get done without the active participation of the Clintons, but in the multi-polar environment that will shape up in Washington, the Clintons are going to be a prominent polarity of power. If I were them, I just wait to see how he does before particularly pitching in to help out. I would not accept any work assignments from him just yet. The Clintons would do well to establish a salon in Georgetown and consolidate Hillary’s growing power in the Senate. Let Obama demonstrate what kind of power he can bring to bear on his own.


If it develops that the crushing responsibility of redressing the country is more than Obama is able to accomplish without the Clintons and that he needs them, then they, like De Gaulle, may be in a position to set the terms according to their needs.


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Posted 12 days ago ( Permanent Link )
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It's The Stupid Economy



99% of attorneys know nothing except what they needed to learn to pass the bar exam, and they immediately forgot that too once the test was over. The reason we keep electing them to political office is that with their egos so overblown they think they are the only capable persons, so they keep presenting themselves where a normal person might be inhibited by a more realistic assessment of his own capabilities.


This is why a nation run by lawyers is bound to find itself in perpetual difficulty as legislators spend 50% of their time getting things wrong and the other 50% trying to conceal their ignorance.


Take the current economic climate. The mortgage-backed derivatives have been eating their way through the banking system for years like tooth decay, but they have never been investigated by any legislative body in this country because the politicians are so bamboozled by the structured finance of the situation thay they don’t know where to begin. You think a couple of bozos like Barney Frank, who is a clown, or Charles Rangel, who ostensibly can’t figure out his own personal income tax have the expertise to investigate off-balance sheet credit default swaps?


It’s obvious that if Conrad Black and Dennis Koslowski can be prosecuted and sentenced for what in retrospect were simple crimes of embezzlement, then there is a whole gang of people who ought to stand trial for an unprecedented looting of the world banking system. But it would require a courtroom the size of Yankee Stadium to hold all the defendants, instead of just the few dozen that the Italians are used to trying at one of their mafia extravaganzas. You would have to elist an army of prosecutors to prepare cases against the world financial elite – CEOs, analysts, rating agencies, brokers, accountants, traders – all on trial for conspiracy, negligence, fraud, unjust enrichment, grand larceny, filing of false instruments, wire and securities fraud, embezzlement, blah blah blah the list of charges is endless.


Who’s going to try the case? Attorneys who don’t know spit about finance, never mind assembling evidence and exhibits and explaining freakin cross-border derivative hedge swaps to a jury of used car salesmen and retired nurses. Heard by political hack judges who are so nuts that their eyes are rolling around in their heads like freakin pinballs. You would need a super-prosecutor to determine a prosecution strategy based on a monstrous racketeering conspiracy comprised of mortgage brokers writing worthless mortgages and then selling them through clearing houses to crooked banks who package bad ones with good ones into derivative instruments and then pay off the external auditors to look the other way, and the rating agencies to bestow upon these dogs a AAA rating, unloading them back-and-forth on each other like a Three Stooges comedy movie. I’ll buy yours if you’ll buy mine. And then the geniuses who sell insurance to you in case these priceless articles of wealth should happen for whatever reason to fail. And then they fail and the insurance companies don't have enough reserves to cover the losses.


Omigoddd! And then the hapless suckers who walk in off the street to the investment storefront on Harding Avenue in Surfside, Florida, to invest their retirement savings:

“Blah blah blah it’s got a triple A rating from Moody’s and it pays 10%!”

“Wow, 10%!”

“Yeah, and it’s no-risk.”

“I’ll just put my whole savings in it.”


The nightmare for Republicans is that this threadbare piece of garbage unraveled one month before the election. They are reacting like a skunk caught in the headlights. Just like 9/11, Katrina and Iraq (oh, yeah, I forgot: the surge is working – suuuurrrre it is!) they have been caught behaving like barnyard animals, the only difference being that this time the election is so near that they will not have time to massage it out of the people’s minds. Obama, who has already blown a huge natural advantage in the form of the Republicans’ past record, would have to be a total moron to blow his current big advantage in terms of the whole population losing its shirt the day before they are scheduled to go to the polls. I’m not discounting the fact that he could still blow it, but if he would now get up and promise to go after the crooks who looted the banking system, he would appease the American people’s appetite for administering punishment and guarantee himself the election.


All this is going on with such velocity, everybody seems to have forgotten the Republicans’ big campaign for privatizing Social Security. Remember that little gem? Where do you suppose all that money would have gone to right now, if they had been able to get away with that? Well, I’ll tell you where: right into the big black hole where all the other stolen money went.


Incidentally, where’s my freakin bailout? My bartender wants to get paid. My girlfriend is hocking me. She heard that Conrad Black’s wife was nagging him for a helicopter and now she wants one too. “The Kravitzes have a helicopter. How come we don’t have one?”



You know why Black’s wife wanted a helicopter? This is beautiful – SO THEY COULD FLY FREAKIN HENRY KISSINGER TO THE AIRPORT! Kissinger knows plenty about helicopters. When he was working for that prick Nixon and he engineered all those fascist coups d’etat in Latin America (no wonder they are having a hard time appreciating our better qualities down there), the dictatorships’ favorite weapon of choice for getting rid of radicals was to take them on a little moonlight helicopter ride and drop them in the ocean. If I was Henry Kissinger, I wouldn’t go NEAR a freakin helicopter because you never know if God has a sense of humor.


Anyway, Black couldn’t steal enough money to afford to buy his wife a freakin helicopter, but his consolation prize was that when he went to jail they took him in a helicopter. That should be some consolation



Let’s get on the backs of these thieving pricks! “I promise you that if I am elected President, my administration will go after the thieves and swindlers who cheated the American people out of their hard-earned retirement income, and I will aggressively prosecute these criminals and make sure they go to jail.”


Now you’re talking! I’d vote for that!



While we’re at it, don’t forget that in China they shoot these guys for economic sabotage, and they force their families to pay for the bullet. Now, I’m not advocating that, but how about a nice horsewhipping and tar-and-feathering.



Compare that with McCain. “The fundamentals of the economy are sound.” That’s the only drunken line he knows, one that he’s been repeating for 25 years. Next to this dork, even a hysterical, screaming shrew like Sarah Palin looks refreshing.



People are going to put Obama in for the simple reason that, who wants to wake up the week after the election with banks still collapsing all around their ears and the prospect of four more years of McCain and Palin running the economy? How would you feature a thing like that, my friend?


Spitzer had the right idea when he declared war on Wall Street. He was right. What he had in common with Giuliani was that they both grew up in a mob environment, with a gang of thieves at the dinner table every Sunday, Giuliani with the actual mafia and Spitzer with real estate and investment thieves. That made them good prosecutors, because they knew exactly which rocks to look under.



Andrew Cuomo has been having some luck at making some of these banks pay back some of the money they stole, but as far as I know he hasn’t tried any criminal prosecutions. It may be like the Kennedy assassination, where the general knowledge of a conspiracy was there, but not the political will to go after specific personalities.



But it would be a peachy thing to at least get a few of these guys, stage a show trial and then tar and feather them. In a couple of years’ time, when the true impact of this mess starts to set in and people are really suffering, a couple of butt lashings might brighten up an otherwise dreary economic environment.



I remember back when I was in the accessory business, in the midst of a booming economy, I was commiserating with this old guy, Jack Callari, about how difficult it was to recruit decent employees who were capable of putting in a day’s work. He told me “I hate to say it, but maybe what we need is a good depression.” He didn’t mean it as a joke, either. I can’t say I was horrified at his remark, but I didn’t consider that he might have a point, either. Years later I have rather moved over to his position, and it isn’t just the shit work habits of the iPod generation, for whom work as I have known it is a totally alien concept. The attitude that if you just sit totally immobile things will work themselves out has totally permeated society.



That’s what happened with the freakin CDO’s. The only banking house that bothered to do its own due diligence on the securities, as opposed to accepting the S&P, Moody’s, Fitch AAA ratings, Goldman Sachs, immediately got out of them and has been announcing profits every quarter that the other banks have been tanking. To paraphrase what a prominent Republican legislator remarked while on a “fact-finding” tour of the slums of the orient, maybe what Wall Street needs is a good hurricane.



Maybe, now, with the election just weeks away, that the Bush administration has decided to become the clearing house for all the worthless garbage that has been made possible by its own supreme idiocy, spending hundreds of billions and trillions of tax dollars to get a bunch of rich thieves off the hook, while down in criminal court pickpockets and prostitutes are getting sent up to do hard time for plying their trade. And I’m not advocatingsetting those petty miscreants free. Rather the opposite, in fact, the same rich thieves who have been getting huge tax breaks for years, thereby effectively shifting the wealth upstairs, maybe this will cause some economic theorists to rethink the concept of unregulated capitalism. I think this mess reveals rather conclusively that when you construct a structure on an ad hoc basis, without any kind of architectural design or regulatory oversight, what you ultimately end up with is a collapsed ruin. Maybe all these hedges, swaps, and arcane financial transactions never served any useful purpose except to steal and conceal various sources of unjust enrichment.



I’m not advocating reform of the existing system. There is not enough left for that. What I am contemplating is a total rethinking of the entire concept of the production and transfer of wealth. McCain wanted to give a big prize to whomever could develop an effective car battery. Well, maybe a prize should be offered for putting in order the economic Rubik’s cube.



If this stinking putrescence of an economy has any beneficial side effects, maybe it will be to fundamentally discredit the kind of Darwinian capitalism that has been all the rage for the last couple of hundred years, particularly in the Anglo-Saxon world, whose insistence that abject greed and primitive self-interest are the only efficient ways to produce and distribute wealth.



I’m not so much advocating a command economy as a Social Democratic consensus economy, where social partners in the form of interest groups representing all the multifarious aspects of society would be able to come to a consensus of priorities and prerogatives under the aegis of elected referees. Is this perfectly clear?



At the very least, now that the Anglo-Saxon model of unbridled self-interest has been determined to be a bust, a beautiful end result of it, like a rose springing from a pile of manure, would be to stop anclicizing the other commercial languages of the world, so that future generations will not have to be offended by bastard terms like “le cash-flow technique.”
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Posted 13 days ago ( Permanent Link )
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Why Men Stay Single



You don’t need to be a rocket scientist to figure out what’s up with Sarah Palin, and you don’t need an official investigation to make a determination about her character and fitness to be vice-president.

There is enough public knowledge to understand the salient facts of the case. She was the mayor of a small town in Alaska. Her sister was married to a policeman. Despite being a devout evangelical Christian, she was very well-connected with a lot of bar owners, who contributed to all her campaigns. This meant there had to be a lot of drinking going on. Since marijuana is also legal in Alaska (up to a personal stash of 4 oz.), there was probably a lot of pot smoking as well. Notwithstanding her devotion to Christian principals, Palin admits to having smoked the stuff.

For whatever reason, Palin’s brother-in-law decided that he didn’t want to remain married to her sister anymore. He probably decided he had had enough of Sarah as well. So he filed for divorce.

Since even the boiling cauldron of hell hath no fury like a woman scorned, the Palin sisters made a determination to ruin the guy. Sarah Palin embarked on a personal vendetta campaign to get him fired from the Alaska State Police. She went so far overboard that on at least one occasion she was admonished by a civil court judge to desist from harassing her sister’s ex.

When she got elected governor, one of her first official acts was to try to get the Alaska State Police Commissioner to fire her sister’s ex. He told her to go soak her head. This drove her into such a paroxysm of frenzy that she pulled out all the stops and embarked on a campaign to get him fired.

What else do you need to know? You don’t need any public hearings to figure out that this Sarah Palin is a totally over-the-top toxic avenger and a threat to anybody who personally offends her. She is a one-woman witch hunt who takes things personally and flies into murderous rages.

This quality might appeal to a lot of women who share those characteristics. Also a lot of men (I have always maintained that Republicans suffer from a chemical imbalance that is treatable with drugs). But for the vast majority of Americans, who are engaged in a day-to-day struggle just to keep body and soul together without resorting to destructive fits of primitive rage, a Sarah Palin-type character in the White House is the last thing they might care to contemplate. A was proven with Nixon, once you get a big prick like that in office, you need a crowbar to get him out again.

The press and the media are pussyfooting around this case of blatant abuse of power because they are in the pocket of interests that are determined to keep the Republicans afloat despite the destruction they have wrought. When times get tough, a Sarah Palin attack dog might be just the ticket to keep dissenting voices subdued. With a loose canon like her aboard a desperate, flailing Republican administration, dissenting voices might find discretion to be the better part of valor, for fear that the dingbat vice-president might decide to make a few phone calls and get them fired from their jobs, or worse.

Palin’s past record of achievement may be scant, but what’s already known about her is that she is vindictive, destructive and lacking in self-restraint.

Every male has run up against a Sarah Palin, or several of them, in his personal and professional life, and if the available facts about her are circulated as they need to be, no man will vote for her.

Let’s stop waiting for a freakin official report and debate the topic with the facts that we have at hand. The fact that the Republicans are moving heaven and earth to keep a lid on this speaks volumes about its explosive potential.
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Posted 13 days ago ( Permanent Link )
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The Breath of Poseidon



When the earthquake hits and the tectonic plates start to drift, it doesn’t matter whether you’ve been a good boy or girl, or if you did your homework. The objective conditions will produce consequences that are exclusive of any personal characteristics that one may or may not possess. Personal qualities don’t matter in the scramble for survival.


That is why it would be folly to count out Barack Obama’s bid for the presidency, despite his second-rate intellect or his fourth-rate political talents. With the banks collapsing and the Bush administration running around with a butterfly net, trying to stave off the imminent destruction until at least the second week in November, history puts Obama in the right place at the right time, whether he deserves it or not.


Under the current economic circumstances, the fact that the Republicans are even competitive at all underscores the feebleness and lack of talent of the Obama campaign.


But the fault lines are opening and the cracks are beginning to widen in the elaborately constructed house of cards we jokingly refer to as our economic system. The brave new world we are facing is going to call for a different skill set of qualities from that which we have up to now been led to believe would be needed: like so-called, freakin people skills and a snarky WASP inflection of the manner.


color="#c71585">

Obama does not even begin to possess the kind of qualities needed to set things right. He is being flummoxed by idiotic Republican comedians and a hick broad from flyover country. But if the stock market and the banks collapse during the next two months, as they are likely to do, then people will be driven to see McCain and Palin in a different light, as agents of the process that got us into this mess, the Republicans’ fate will be sealed and the Democrats will be blown into the White House like Ulysses was blown into the rocks by the breath of Poseidon.


Speaking for myself, if Obama gets elected, I will forgive him all his faults of overreaching vanity and incompetence. My goal has always been to get the Republican monkey off my back, and wrest society from the current gang of kleptocrat thieves who believe that it is their God-given right to pick the country clean, and I don’t care how it’s achieved. I personally have suffered enough at the hands of these jackals and desire to see them brought down low, like the statue of Saddam Hussein.


This time last year, I was singing like a canary in a mineshaft at the gaseous stink emanating from the financial markets because of the mortgage securities. It sure smelled like a cave-in to me! People who should have known better wrote me off as alarmist. Now the rumblings are coming closer and closer, like a cheesy Hollywood movie, and nobody is laughing anymore.


With banks now collapsing on a daily basis, the whole system is being put into a run-off mode. When the financial system disintegrates, the political system will be sure to follow. Then all the prophetic song lyrics Bob Dylan wrote in the 1960’s will return to haunt us.

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Posted 22 days ago ( Permanent Link )
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El vaquero de Chihuahua



Yo soy vaquero de Chihuahua,


Yo tengo una vaca que se llama Rosita que es mi novia


A mi me encanta mi vaca Rosita que es mi amorrrrrr


O Rosita mi vaca no me deje por el toro Benito que tiene la verga tan grande


Mi amor


En la manana


Le traigo comida a Rosita por mostrar mi afectooooo


Y me dice Rosita ai-ai-aiiiiiiiiiii


Un dia me voy a casar con Rosita la vaca de Chihuahua


Y vamos a chingar en el campo con los patos que juegan pelota


Ai-ai-aiiiiiii
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Posted 27 days ago ( Permanent Link )
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